Applied Information Aspects of Medicine (Prikladnye informacionnye aspekty mediciny)Applied Information Aspects of Medicine (Prikladnye informacionnye aspekty mediciny)2070-9277Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko - The State Budgetary Institution of Higher Professional Education «Voronezh State Medical University named after N.N. Burdenko» of the Ministry of Public Health of the Russian137210.18499/2070-9277-2003-6-1-103-108Original ArticleMODELING AND FORECASTING THE PROBABILITY OF UROLITHIASIS TAKING INTO ACCOUNT SOCIAL AND HYGIENIC RISK FACTORS - AS A SCIENTIFIC BASIS OF FORMATION OF PUBLIC HEALTHSLOstashenko L-GYKlimenko Ya-ChoporovO N-Voronej state medical academy151220036110310822042020Copyright © 2003, Прикладные информационные аспекты медицины2003This article describes the steps and shows a diagram of the algorithm for constructing predictive models, which are based on data collection technology. Based on this method, formed groups of related indicators, fundamental criteria which served as age, type of water consumed, the predominant type of labor, harmful labor factors, social status. As a result, developed a variant of the verification of predictive models IBC developmentМочекаменная болезньмоделированиепрогнозирование развития1.Руководство по урологии /Под ред. Н.А. Лопаткина.- М.: Медицина, 1998.- т. 2.- 768с.2.Яненко Э.К. Мочекаменная болезнь /Э.К.Яненко //Современные методы диагностики и лечения мочекаменной болезни,- М., 1991.- С.3-5.3.Smith X. Medical aspects urolithiasis: on view /X.Smith //J. Urol.-1989.-N3.- P.707-710.